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I’ve briefly outlined the most important of these below and we’ll explore them further later:

  • Soil typetexture: (or soil texture) refers to the composition of the soil in terms of the proportion of small, medium, and large particles (clay, silt, and sand, respectively) in a specific soil mass. For example, a coarse soil is a sand or loamy sand, a medium soil is a loam, silt loam, or silt, and a fine soil is a sandy clay, silty clay, or clay. The amount of water available to the plants depends on the texture of the soil. Sandy soils retain much less water than loam soils. Loam soils are usually highly valued for their consistent crop production. Note that the greatest amount of crop available water is in the loam-to-silt loam texture. Understanding soil type variety in a given field is central to effectively maintain soil moisture levels in soils.

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  • Topography: High spots and low spots will change how much water actually is actually absorbed into the soil locally versus running off to other areas. This applies to both precipitation and irrigation.

  • Electroconductivity (EC): is a convenient way to measure the amount of dissolved salts in the soil. Salt concentrations are important because they influence osmotic pressure. Water uptake by plants is regulated by the transpiration rate and the osmotic pressure in root cells. Water flows through root cell membranes from low-solute concentration to high solute concentration. Therefore, high salt concentration in the soil solution or in the water will reduce the amount of water available to crops. Secondarily, high electrical conductivity of the soil solution or nutrient solution can imply high concentration of particular ions, such as chlorides, sodium, and boron, which are potentially toxic to crops.

  • Crop type: The type of crop being grown on a field will heavily influence water needs. For example, some crops need relatively more water than others. Furthermore, different crops will root to different depths (rooting depths), changing what water is available to them. For example, in the image below any moisture in the 4 - 10m zone is inaccessible to Pimpinella saxifraga and Convolvulus trsgacanthoides, but is accessible to Pinus sylvestris and Zygophyllum xanthoxylo.

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  • Crop stage: Crops will have different water (and nutrient) needs based on their stage of growth. This is easy to imagine by visualizing a freshly emerged corn stalk 1” tall versus a shoulder high stalk approaching maturity. These stages are well understood for most commercial crops and can be described in different ways. We’ll employ the idea of crop coefficients (Kc) and crop water use curve (such as the one below for dry peas).

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  1. Precipitation: Natural rainfall occurring during the growing season.

  2. Irrigation: the process of manually or mechanically applying controlled amounts of water to the land.

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The above graph shows how plants transpire more as they mature. The increase in evaporation during the same period is likely due to higher temperatures. A quick preview of water use by crop stage (for dried peas, though generally similar across crops) is shown below:

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Taken together

Below we can see a commercial offering showing what such a “water balance” system might look like.

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On the x-axis we have time and on the y-axis we see the amount of moisture in the soil. As we might expect, several points on the y-axis denote the important levels (or derivatives of the levels) we discussed above:

  • Teal: Refill, AKA field capacity

  • Yellow: Safety, a point sufficiently proceeding the wilting point such that a farmer can schedule and perform irrigation before the crop becomes stressed and begins to wilt.

  • Red: Crop stress, AKA wilting point, where permanent losses to yield begin.

  • Brown: Permanent wilting point, where crops effectively have no access to moisture and die.

While this dashboard doesn’t explicitly show the reasons that soil moisture decreases over time, we can safely assume the four factors described in the previous section are the culprit. Indeed, we could likely correlate particularly hot or windy days with particularly precipitous drops in available water levels. Furthermore, based on when significant decreases in soil moisture begin (despite continued precipitation), we can assume the crop was planted in late April and shortly thereafter began actively evapotranspirating at an increasing rate until mid-Fall where the crop transitioned to a less active growth stage.

On the “filling the bucket” side of things, we see:

  • Dark blue: Rainfall events

  • Light blue: Irrigation events

As we might expect, the irrigation events clearly show a spike in soil moisture levels. Precipitation is a bit more muted but clearly serves to maintain high soil moisture prior to the growing season (where daily water use surpasses natural recharge from precipitation).

Modeling the state of the bucket and future water needs

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